Class-Incremental Motion Forecasting
A team of researchers has introduced a new framework for autonomous vehicle perception called class-incremental motion forecasting, designed to predict the trajectories of moving objects even as new, previously unseen categories emerge over time [1]. The approach, detailed in a paper revised on 18 June 2026, addresses a core limitation in current motion forecasting systems, which typically operate in a closed-world setting with a fixed set of object types and an assumption of flawless sensor data [1][2]. The proposed framework, named cOntinual Motion PrEdictioN (OMEN), is the first end-to-end system built to sequentially learn new object classes from camera images while retaining performance on previously learned ones, a challenge known as mitigating catastrophic forgetting [2][3]. Nicolas Schischka is listed as the corresponding author on the submission [1]. To adapt to new classes without requiring full dataset storage or re-training, the method generates motion forecasting pseudo-labels for known object categories. These are then matched with 2D instance masks produced by an open-vocabulary segmentation model [1][2]. A 3D-to-2D keypoint voting mechanism is employed to filter out inconsistent and overconfident predictions, improving reliability [1][3]. In parallel, a query feature variance-based replay strategy selects informative past sequences to help the model preserve prior knowledge [2][4]. The framework was evaluated on the nuScenes and Argoverse 2 datasets, where it successfully maintained performance on known classes while adapting to novel ones [1][3]. The researchers also demonstrated zero-shot transfer to real-world driving scenarios and extended the method to open- and closed-loop end-to-end class-incremental planning on nuScenes and NeuroNCAP [1][4]. The paper was first submitted on 10 March 2026, with subsequent updates in March and June of that year [1].
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Background sources we checked (6)
- arxiv.org ↗ Motion forecasting enables autonomous vehicles to anticipate scene evolution by predicting the future trajectories of dynamic agents. However, existing approaches typically assume a closed-world setting with a fixed object taxonomy and access to high-quality perception, limiting …
- arxiv.org ↗ Motion forecasting enables autonomous vehicles to anticipate scene evolution by predicting the future trajectories of dynamic agents. However, existing approaches typically assume a closed-world setting with a fixed object taxonomy and access to high-quality perception, limiting …
- arxiv.org ↗ > Abstract:Motion forecasting aims to predict the future trajectories of dynamic agents in the scene, enabling autonomous vehicles to effectively reason about scene evolution. Existing approaches operate under the closed-world regime and assume fixed object taxonomy as well as ac…
- en.wikipedia.org ↗ In atmospheric science, an atmospheric model is a mathematical model constructed around the full set of primitive, dynamical equations which govern atmospheric motions. It can supplement these equations with parameterizations for turbulent diffusion, radiation, moist processes (c…
- en.wikipedia.org ↗ A tropical cyclone is a rapidly rotating storm system with a low-pressure area, a closed low-level atmospheric circulation, strong winds, and a spiral arrangement of thunderstorms that produce heavy rain and squalls. Depending on its location and strength, a tropical cyclone is c…
- en.wikipedia.org ↗ Numerical weather prediction (NWP) uses mathematical models of the atmosphere and oceans to predict the weather based on current weather conditions. Though first attempted in the 1920s, it was not until the advent of computer simulation in the 1950s that numerical weather predict…
Sources
- export.arxiv.org — Class-Incremental Motion Forecasting ↗